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Showing posts with the label demography

Demographic projections: 2018 vs 2060 (part 1)

These are the ten most populous countries in 2018: China 1,393,686,493 India 1,358,137,719 United States 328,835,763 Indonesia 266,357,298 Brazil 212,873,151 Pakistan 200,662,818 Nigeria 196,752,840 Bangladesh 166,734,722 Russia 143,261,490 Mexico 131,788,271 These will be the ten most populous countries by 2060: India 1,745,182,406 China 1,276,757,047 Nigeria 473,123,062 United States 403,503,684 Pakistan 332,977,509 Indonesia 326,037,518 Democratic Republic of the Congo 237,216,692 Brazil 236,013,664 Ethiopia 209,458,924 Bangladesh 201,942,310 The greatest population declines are projected for these ten countries between 2018 and 2060: Bulgaria 6,992,150 to 4,664,960 (-33.28%) Moldova 4,044,534 to 2,908,731 (-28.08%) Romania 19,105,089 to 13,932,170 (-27.08%) Ukraine 44,170,002 to 32,542,047 (-26.33%) Bosnia and Herzegovina 3,782,297 to 2,792,611 (-26.17%) Latvia 1,935,780 to 1,504,200 (-22.29%) Croatia 4,194,538 to 3,332,966 (-20.54%) Poland 3...

Low fertility nations: risk of demographic time bomb

As the world gets more and more populated by humans, as fewer marriages occur, and the time between pregnancies increase, there has been a decrease in the overall fertility rate of the human population, with high-income countries usually having the lowest fertility rates. With low fertility, the human population is also progressively aging older and older. The median age of the world human population is around 30 years. These countries have total fertility rates below 1.5 children per woman in 2017, which means there is a high risk of a demographic time bomb in the near future: Belarus (1.48) Cyprus (1.47) Austria (1.47) Bulgaria (1.46) Czechia (1.45) Hungary (1.45) Germany (1.45) Italy (1.44) Serbia (1.44) Greece (1.43) Japan (1.41) Slovakia (1.41) Croatia (1.40) Andorra (1.40) Slovenia (1.36) Romania (1.35) Poland (1.35) Bosnia and Herzegovina (1.30) Republic of Korea (1.26) Puerto Rico (1.22) Hong Kong (1.19) Taiwan (1.13) Singapore (0.83), the only sove...