Demographic projections: 2018 vs 2060 (part 1)

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These are the ten most populous countries in 2018:

  1. China 1,393,686,493
  2. India 1,358,137,719
  3. United States 328,835,763
  4. Indonesia 266,357,298
  5. Brazil 212,873,151
  6. Pakistan 200,662,818
  7. Nigeria 196,752,840
  8. Bangladesh 166,734,722
  9. Russia 143,261,490
  10. Mexico 131,788,271
These will be the ten most populous countries by 2060:
  1. India 1,745,182,406
  2. China 1,276,757,047
  3. Nigeria 473,123,062
  4. United States 403,503,684
  5. Pakistan 332,977,509
  6. Indonesia 326,037,518
  7. Democratic Republic of the Congo 237,216,692
  8. Brazil 236,013,664
  9. Ethiopia 209,458,924
  10. Bangladesh 201,942,310
The greatest population declines are projected for these ten countries between 2018 and 2060:
  1. Bulgaria 6,992,150 to 4,664,960 (-33.28%)
  2. Moldova 4,044,534 to 2,908,731 (-28.08%)
  3. Romania 19,105,089 to 13,932,170 (-27.08%)
  4. Ukraine 44,170,002 to 32,542,047 (-26.33%)
  5. Bosnia and Herzegovina 3,782,297 to 2,792,611 (-26.17%)
  6. Latvia 1,935,780 to 1,504,200 (-22.29%)
  7. Croatia 4,194,538 to 3,332,966 (-20.54%)
  8. Poland 38,522,728 to 30,826,729 (-19.98%)
  9. Lithuania 2,817,402 to 2,271,738 (-19.37%)
  10. Hungary 9,754,429 to 7,865,336 (-19.37%)
Not surprisingly, all of them are in Eastern Europe or southern Slavic countries.

These are the demographic milestones that will happen between 2018 and 2060:
  • India will surpass China as the world's most populated political entity in 2022.
  • After 2028, China's population will begin to decline.
  • Asia will be home to five billion residents by 2034.
  • Africa's population will reach two billion people in 2039.
  • Nigeria will surpass the United States in population in 2049.

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